
By Debra Varnado / Capital & Main
It’s no secret that California residents pay more for housing than residents in most other states, especially in the metropolitan coastal areas and Silicon Valley cities. Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco, San Jose, Palo Alto and other highly attractive, jobs- and amenities-rich cities are widely documented as being the least-affordable housing markets in California.
Obtaining decent affordable rental housing and earning enough income to sustain a family are increasingly more difficult goals to achieve. The American Dream of homeownership, and of building and maintaining stable communities, is fading in the face of this new socio-economic reality.
The state’s poorest families pay up to two-thirds of their income on housing
Red flags abound: The state’s poorest families pay up to two-thirds of their income on housing, firmly placing them in the severely “rent burdened” category of households. (Families that spend more than 30 percent of their income on rent are considered rent-burdened by the U.S. Department Housing and Urban Development and other agencies.) Individuals and families with higher incomes are not immune to the skyrocketing housing costs. Lisa Payne, policy director at the Southern California Association of NonProfit Housing, told Capital & Main, “In Los Angeles County, in order to afford average rent, a family of four needs to make $72,000 annually or $34 an hour. To buy a home, a family of four needs to make $120,000 annually or $57 an hour.”
In Los Angeles County, in order to afford average rent, a family of four needs to make $72,000 annually or $34 an hour.
In April 2015, Standard & Poor/Case-Shiller reported that L.A. housing prices were up 126.36 percent over the year 2000. The index that regularly measures home prices in the U.S. showed that San Diego had the third highest growth in housing prices nationwide, with about a 105 percent increase. San Francisco, like Los Angeles, is a majority-renter city, and it has seen its housing prices increase by 95 percent. In four-county Silicon Valley, 40 percent of renters are rent-burdened. Because workers are increasingly unable to live near where they are employed, work commutes have grown by as much as 33 percent in the last two years. Although the region boasts an average yearly income of $116,033, almost a third of its residents in 2012 did not make enough money to meet their basic needs without public assistance.
According to California Legislative Analyst Mac Taylor, “California probably needs to construct 100,000 to 140,000 new housing units annually — almost exclusively in its coastal communities — to seriously mitigate its problems with housing affordability.”
At the same time, several policy challenges, discussed below, will continue to contribute to the crisis and work against achieving this modest target.
Stagnant Wages, Skyrocketing Housing Costs
“Part of the problem is the income-and-costs mismatch, both in the apartment and homeownership markets,” Lisa Payne, policy director at the Southern California Association of NonProfit Housing told Capital & Main. “We don’t have policies in effect to solve this issue.”
[A]ccording to a New York University’s Furman Center study, rents in Los Angeles went up 11 percent while wages fell by four percent between 2006 and 2013.
A report by the Neighborhood Housing Services, Los Angeles County, concluded that stagnating income is clearly worsening affordability. “Incomes are not keeping up with rising housing costs…incomes have stagnated entirely,” the report said. “After adjusting for inflation…incomes are more or less right where they started in 2000 for the median household.”
And according to a New York University’s Furman Center study, rents in Los Angeles went up 11 percent while wages fell by four percent between 2006 and 2013.
“Income disparity is significant,” Mike Rawson, director of the Public Interest Law Project in Oakland, told me. “You have to look at the system first and what’s causing income disparities all along our coastal cities and towns.”
“Many jobs are being created in high-growth industries, but their wages do not respond to the actual need in terms of housing. They don’t pay the amount that it takes to live in high cost coastal areas and in the Silicon Valley communities,” said Cesar Covarrubias, executive director of the Irvine-based Kennedy Commission, an affordable housing advocacy group.
Ellis Act Violations
According to the Los Angeles Alliance for a New Economy, Airbnb has been responsible for removing approximately 7,795 units from the L.A. housing market.
Enacted by the state legislature in 1985, the Ellis Act allows landlords to legally go out of the rental market business under specific conditions, including if their property is demolished or permanently withdrawn from the market. Landlords also can legally evict tenants, removing apartments from rent control laws.
Evictions have displaced long-term tenants and have led to the loss of rent-controlled, affordable units that are increasingly being rented at higher prices to tourists. Landlords and property managers use Airbnb, the online room-sharing service, to also share information regarding newly-available properties. According to the Los Angeles Alliance for a New Economy, Airbnb has been responsible for removing approximately 7,795 units from the L.A. housing market.
Dismantling of Community Redevelopment Agencies
California’s community redevelopment agency system, created more than 60 years ago, ceased to exist in 2012, resulting in a multibillion dollar disinvestment in affordable housing. CRAs were required to spend 20 percent of their tax increment money to develop rental units and homeownership for low and moderate families.
“The policy that allowed for the dismantling was huge and awful,” Lisa Payne said, while, according to Mac Taylor, CRAs “received over $5 billion in property tax revenue annually.”
“CRAs had a type of inclusionary policy, [but] with all the disinvestment… money is needed to fill the gap between income and what people can afford,” Payne said. “You either ask the private sector [to do this] by including some in their building, or you do it with government funding or regulating the rents.”
Deterrents to Inclusionary Zoning
Just over one-third of California cities have inclusionary zoning laws to ensure that a share of new “for sale” housing is affordable to people with low-to-moderate incomes. City officials may now be inclined to question their legality in light of the legal action opposing San Jose’s ordinance, which would have required developers to sell some of their new units below market rate or pay a fee as a condition of receiving building permits.
The California Building Industry Association (CBIA) is petitioning the U.S. Supreme Court to hear arguments against San Jose’s ordinance, which was upheld by the California Supreme Court in 2015. The case could be a test of the constitutionality of inclusionary zoning. Cities that do not now have such ordinances may await the Court’s decision before pursuing them.
Cities with or without inclusionary zoning ordinances cannot legally set rental rates for new, post-1978 rental properties within their jurisdiction. California’s Costa-Hawkins Act allows rents to be increased to market rates after the units are vacated voluntarily or after eviction, but it preempts cities from setting rent control on new units.
Citing Costa-Hawkins, California’s 2nd District Court of Appeal struck down the City of Los Angeles’ inclusionary housing mandate in 2009. While the city did not have an inclusionary zoning ordinance, it had required mega-developer Geoffrey Palmer to comply with a 1991 specific plan that included making new rental units affordable to low-income households. Palmer prevailed under Costa-Hawkins in Palmer v. City of Los Angeles.
Growth Restrictions and Dodd Frank
Housing development in Los Angeles and in other coastal areas is oftentimes blocked or slowed by voters at the ballot box, adopted zoning ordinances, and NIMBY(Not in My Back Yard) politics. Restrictions and caps are placed on the number and types of new housing units that can be developed, effectively favoring single family construction over higher-density, multiple-family developments.
In Los Angeles, the slow growth movement reached a high point in the 1980s with calls to prevent the “Manhattan-ization” of the city via high density high-rises. Despite claims that higher densities would conflict with the California lifestyle, higher densities are not always seen as a negative. Instead, densification is considered warranted and a means to revitalize blighted, under-utilized areas; decrease automobile use and its associated costs; and increase walking, biking and transit use.
According to Professor Greg Morrow of the University of Calgary, Canada, “The homeowner revolution in Los Angeles – and its damaging impacts on the City’s social, economic, and environmental sustainability – demonstrates the need for the re-assertion of a professional role for planners . . .”
In his doctoral dissertation, the University of California, Los Angeles graduate wrote, “… the slow-growth movement was facilitated by the shift from top-down planning during the pro-growth, post-war period to a bottom-up community planning process post-Watts. … areas with well-organized homeowner groups with strong social capital were able to dramatically decrease density as a means of controlling population growth…”
Henry Grabar, writing in Salon.com, concluded, “Los Angeles and its satellites — once the land of the American homeowner dream — now form the most stunted urban region in the country.” Los Angeles, he added, has “reached capacity.”
Writing in the California Planning and Development Report, contributing editor Josh Stephens has claimed that “…homeowners pushed through anti-growth legislation, advocated by residents who wanted to keep Los Angeles all to themselves.” Stephens contends that “… six million men, women and children were zoned, voted and legislated off the island.”
While the supply of housing in Los Angeles has been constrained, demand has continued to grow. Socioeconomic data and real estate studies document the rise in population, high rent levels, low vacancy rates and less than robust building permit activity — the latter, often a casualty of California’s complicated environmental review process.
Other regulations have also taken a toll, including new stringent federal mortgage disclosure regulations. Banks and their customers who are applying for mortgage loans now are confronted with new rules as a part of the Dodd-Frank legislation passed by Congress in 2010. The 2,300 page act contains 400 new rules that took effect on October 3, 2015. These rules reformed mortgage lending, borrowing practices and disclosures to prevent another housing bubble and market collapse like the one that occurred in 2007. That collapse led to a record number of foreclosures and catastrophic loss of homeowner equity.
Under Dodd-Frank’s torturously titled Truth in Lending Act Real Estate Settlement Procedures (TILA-RESPA) Integrated Disclosure or TRID rules, banks and credit unions vet the financial fitness of potential new homeowners for mortgages. But housing advocates, banks and industry associations complain the regulations have lengthened the time required to complete a loan, “sometimes doubling it from 30 to 60 days,” according to Lori Gay, President and CEO of L.A. County’s Neighborhood Housing Services. The extended time required for loan completion hinders the competitiveness of prospective homeowners. “Lenders are just skittish– afraid of making a mistake, so they don’t make a decision,” Gay said. Not helping matters is the fact that, in rolling out the new procedures, financial institutions have experienced technological glitches and bugs implementing the changes.
Unlike the pre-recession period from 2003-2007, TRID requires far more reporting to ensure prospective homeowners can afford a loan. “The mortgage industry can’t do like they did back in the wild days when all a buyer had to do was have a pulse to get a loan,” said Glenn Hayes, President/CEO, of non-profit NeighborWorks, Orange County, which assists working families in the area of affordable housing.
While the required environmental impact assessments, growth control measures and new mortgage disclosure regulations were created out of legitimate concerns, they are sometimes misused or have had unintended consequences for affordable housing. In the case of the TRID regulations, the impacts may resolve themselves with time and improvements in technologies and a shortened learning curve. Other impacts may be resolved through litigation or legislation.
Debra A. Varnado is the founder, editor and publisher of The Fifth Avenue Times Online Journal and Newsletter. Her work has been published by Oxford University Press, Tsehai Publishers and Distributors, StorySouth.com, Howard University, George Mason University and the Wave Community Newspaper.
IMHO, affordable housing, in which the city imposes on developers to develop below market rate housing, is a scam. The city should develop and own the housing themselves. Then they can charge whatever rate(s) they want including zero for homeless individuals who can’t afford to pay. Combined with Housing First in which individuals also get counseling by a social worker and adequate maintenance,these units could solve the housing problem whereas trying to impose on developers never will.
John Lawrence and I were clearly not from the same mother.
My take on affordable housing is that developers have a responsibility to pay back the help they receive from municipalities in the form of zoning and assembling project parcels.
I have heard Nico Calavita who has far greater authority on the benefits that zoning presents to developers than I’ll ever be able to achieve say that zoning creates a certainty about what the area under development will look like in the future, and, according to Nico, that certainty is worth a mega millions.
Redevelopment gave away public benefits by the millions when it failed to consider how valuable the incentives provided by the public funds that supported development really were. Community Benefit agreement should have been required of every developer–including building affordable housing–which they will tell you they cannot do and make a profit. So they build for the wealthier buyers.
Since public housing has earned such a bad rap, and HUD funding is no longer available, how do we provide the thousands of units of housing low-income families need unless we require developers to give back to the community.
The market has failed us on the housing front.
So HUD is no longer in the business of public housing, and its functions have been turned over to private developers. In other words a public function has been privatized no doubt because lobbyists have changed the law to shift public to private interests. This is what neocons do.
The City of San Diego has $41 million in excess property that it wants to sell, but it has no use for the money. Instead it is hoarded in the Capital Outlay Fund. There are also additional hundreds of millions that could be used for public housing over which the city, not private developers would have control.
Since private developers have no interest in building affordable housing which most poor people couldn’t afford anyway, the City should take that responsibility and create public housing over which it has complete control which means it could rent units for whatever it wanted to including zero dollars a month. Since, as you say, public housing has such a bad rap, there needs to be a new approach which avoids the pitfalls of past efforts.
The Affordable Housing Coalition has worked for more than 15 years– including our engagement in 2004 with the Affordable Housing Task Force. (Our report is still available on the City web site.) Despite a declaration of a “State of Emergency due to a SEVERE shortage of affordable housing’, we have been unable to stimulate any significant action by the City of San Diego.
A broader, more powerful coalition is badly needed.
Help!
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY), the State of California’s legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO) and the CATO Institute have all published papers dealing with high home prices and rents. To summarize, high home prices, where we see them, are the result of government zoning restrictions, high government fees and other regulations. In other words, the reason California home prices are two and a half times the national average is that we suffer from a government induced housing shortage.
California’s population grows by about 300,000 per year simply because people are being born faster than they are dying. This number does not take into consideration either net inward or outward migration.
Among other things, the LAO report says;
1. California needs to build about 100,000 homes a year more than it is building.
2. Almost all of these need to be built in coastal metropolitan areas.
3. Over two thirds of California’s coastal metropolitan areas have enacted growth controls “explicitly” aimed at restricting the construction of new housing.
4. Inland metropolitan areas have been building homes at twice the national rate. High home prices there are the result of the spillover effect from the coastal metropolitan areas.
As an example, the CATO paper indicates “The eight counties in the San Francisco Bay Area, for example, have collectively drawn urban-growth boundaries that exclude 63 percent of the region from development. Regional and local park districts have purchased more than half of the land inside the boundaries for open space purposes. Virtually all of the remaining 17 percent has been urbanized, making it nearly impossible for developers to assemble more than a few small parcels of land for new housing or other purposes.”
The San Jose Mercury News reported last year that San Francisco Bay Area developers were being forced to pay between $3 Million and $5 Million per acre for land upon which to build. That is a direct result of restrictive zoning laws.
The typical government response is to impose additional fees or mandates for affordable housing. This approach was analyzed in a 2007 paper titled “Below-Market Housing Mandates as Takings: Measuring their Impact.” Analyzing data from the 1990 and 2000 Censuses, the authors concluded that “cities that impose a below-market housing mandate actually end up with 10 percent fewer homes and 20 percent higher prices.”
In essence;
1. California governments created a housing affordability problem with overly restrictive zoning laws.
2. Then they blamed builders so they could add additional fees and restrictions.
3. Those solutions only made the situation worse.
4. The shortage in the supply of housing causes home prices to appreciate at artificially high rates which benefit those wealthy enough to buy homes.
5. The shortage also benefits those wealthy enough to own rental property whose values and rents also appreciate at artificially high rates.
6. Meanwhile, low and moderate income households suffer from artificially high rents, long commutes and a host of other problems that were identified in the LAO report.
The LAO report indicated that affordable housing programs alone cannot “meet the housing needs we identify in this report.” It goes on to say “We advise the Legislature to change policies to facilitate significantly more private home and apartment building in California’s coastal urban areas. Though the exact number of new housing units California needs to build is uncertain, the general magnitude is enormous.”
For more information, see;
“The Impact of Building Restrictions on Housing Affordability” by FRBNY
“California’s High Housing Costs: Causes and Consequences” by LAO
“How Urban Planners Caused the Housing Bubble” by the CATO Institute
The Cato Institute is a libertarian think tank that promotes fair markets and “liberty.” It is therefore unsurprising that it would see urban planners (!) as the force behind the housing bubble. This comment is a love song for private developer solutions that ignore environmental concerns and ideologies (read libertarian) that ignore the issue of justice–economic and social justice.
So, @ Anna Daniels, may I assume from your comments that you acknowledge the legitimacy of the papers published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the State of California’s Legislative Analyst? Both attribute high home prices to zoning restrictions, high government fees, and other government regulations.
Do you disagree with the LAO report when it says that California needs to build in the neighborhood of 100,000 more housing units a year than we are building and that almost all of those need to be in coastal metropolitan areas?
Do you disagree with the LAO report when it says “Over two-thirds of cities and counties in California’s coastal metros have adopted policies (known as growth controls) explicitly aimed at limiting housing growth.”
Are you a denier of the laws of supply and demand or do you believe that the shortage of supply identified by the LAO (about 100,000 homes per year) are the reason California’s home prices are two and half times the national average.
Do you disagree with the report that analyzed census data and concluded that cities that impose below market housing mandates end up with 10 fewer homes and 10 percent higher home prices?
Do you disagree with the LAO report when it says targeted affordable housing programs “have historically accounted for only a small share of all new housing built each year…”
Do you disagree with the U.S. Centers for Disease Control when they report that California’s population grows by about 300,000 people per year just because people are being born faster than they are dying? What is your plan for meeting the housing needs of these people?
Do you disagree with the Center on Budget Policy and Priorities when it says that California has the 2nd or 3rd highest rate of income inequality depending on the metric used? If you believe the LAO report, then you have to believe that a significant part of the problem is that many low and middle income families can’t afford to live near their places of work and are forced to pay artificially high rents when they do.
Do you disagree with the San Jose Mercury News article that reported that 115,000 workers in the San Francisco Bay area have one way commute of over 90 minutes because they can’t afford to near their work places. That’s over 3 hours a day of commuting.
In terms of the effect on the environment, how many tons of carbon do you suppose 115,000 commuters spew into the air when they spend over 3 hours a day commuting to and from work?
Should have said “cities that impose below market housing mandates end up with 10 fewer homes and 20 percent higher home prices?”
Whoops, still wrong, should have said “cities that impose below market housing mandates end up with 10 percent fewer homes and 20 percent higher home prices?